Not Yet RecruitingNot Applicable

CARAMEL: Retrospective Study for Personalized Risk Assessment of Cardiovascular Disease in Menopausal and Perimenopausal Women Using Real World Data

1,500,000 participantsStarted 2026-03-01

Plain-language summary

This retrospective observational study, part of the EU-funded CARAMEL project, aims to develop and validate personalized cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk assessment models specifically designed for menopausal and perimenopausal women (ages 40-60). The study leverages Real World Data (RWD) collected from multiple international clinical partners, including electronic health records (EHR), diagnostic imaging data, and signal data. The main objective is to improve the prediction of CVD precursors such as hypertension and dyslipidemia, as well as mid- and long-term risk of CVD events, through advanced artificial intelligence (AI) models. These models will be trained on multimodal data to capture complex, individualized risk trajectories that current risk calculators fail to address, particularly in women. Special focus is placed on under-researched, women-specific risk factors and their interactions with traditional predictors. The study includes several research objectives: (1) predicting the onset of hypertension and dyslipidemia using EHR data; (2) modeling the long-term risk of fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events and disease trajectories; (3) identifying novel imaging biomarkers from routine screening tests such as mammography, DXA, ultrasound, and cardiac MRI; (4) developing multimodal prediction models combining imaging and clinical data; (5) creating automated AI tools for imaging biomarker extraction; and (6) using signal data from cardiac devices to predict disease progression and events. The study population consists of middle-aged women with retrospective data available across different health systems. The expected outcome is a validated set of stratified, personalized CVD risk models that can support targeted prevention strategies and enable more equitable, sex-specific care. This will contribute to reducing the burden of CVD in women and addressing critical gaps in early detection, clinical decision-making, and health policy. This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon Europe Research and Innovation Programme under Grant Agreement No 101156210.

Who can participate

Age range

40 Years – 60 Years

Sex

FEMALE

See this in plain English?

AI-rewrites the medical criteria so a patient or caregiver can understand them. Always confirm with the trial site.

Inclusion Criteria: Self-identified as female in the electronic health record (EHR). Age between 40 and 60 years at the time of data collection/index date. Availability of at least 5-6 years of retrospective data in the EHR, depending on the research objective. At least one healthcare encounter (visit, imaging, lab test, diagnosis, etc.) within the defined age range. For imaging substudies (e.g., RO3-RO5): availability of at least one relevant imaging test (e.g., DXA, digital mammography, cMRI, CCTA, US) during the age range. For signal-based analysis (RO6): presence of ECG monitoring data from implanted devices and at least 2 years of follow-up. Exclusion Criteria: Prior diagnosis of cardiovascular disease before the observation window (only applicable to specific ROs, e.g., RO2, RO4). Insufficient data quality or missing key variables needed for modeling (e.g., absence of blood pressure or lipid profile). Patients with incomplete or inconsistent records (e.g., duplicate IDs, mismatched time frames). For signal-based RO6: hospitalizations or diagnoses unrelated to cardiovascular health that may bias AI model training.

Questions worth asking your doctor

Bring these to your next appointment. They're a starting point for a shared conversation — not a sign you qualify or a recommendation to enrol.

1Based on my diagnosis and history, is this trial worth exploring for me — or is there a standard treatment we should try first?
2What does this trial's phase tell us about how much is already known about its safety and benefit?
3What would taking part actually involve for me — visits, tests, time, and travel?
4What are the known and possible risks or side effects I should weigh, and how would they be monitored?
5If this trial isn't the right fit, what other options or trials would you suggest I look into?

Generated to help you prepare — always confirm anything about your own eligibility and care with the study team and your doctor.

Questions for the trial coordinator

The trial coordinator is the person who runs the study day to day. These cover the practical side — logistics, costs, and what taking part would actually mean for your life. The study team confirms whether you meet the criteria; these are questions to ask, not a sign you qualify.

1What does taking part actually involve week to week — how many visits, where, and how long does each one take?
2What costs are covered by the study, and what might I have to pay for myself, including travel, parking, or time off work?
3What happens during screening, and what happens if the study team confirms I don't meet the criteria after those tests?
4Who pays for the scans, blood work, and other tests the trial requires — the study, my insurance, or me?
5How will being in the trial affect my regular care, and will my own doctor stay informed and involved?
6Can I leave the trial at any point if I change my mind, and what would happen to my care if I do?

A starting point for the conversation — always confirm anything about your own eligibility, costs, and care with the study team and your doctor.

What they're measuring

Occurrence and Predicted Risk of Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Events (fatal and non-fatal)

Timeframe: up to 10 years

Trial details

NCT IDNCT06999317

SponsorHospital Universitario Virgen Macarena

Sponsor typeOTHER

Study typeOBSERVATIONAL

Primary completion2027-12-01

View on ClinicalTrials.gov More Cardiovascular Risk Factors trials