The goal of this prospective observational cohort study is to validate a previously developed pancreatic cancer risk prediction algorith (the PRISM model) using electronic health records from the general population. The main questions it aims to answer are: * Will a pancreatic cancer risk model, developed on routine EHR data, reliably and accurately predict pancreatic cancer in real-time? * What is the average time from model deployment and risk prediction, to the date of pancreatic cancer development and what is the stage of pancreatic cancer at diagnosis? The risk model will be deployed on data from individuals eligible for the study. Each individual will be assigned a risk score and tracked over time to assess the model's discriminatory performance and calibration.
Age range
40 Years – 100 Years
Sex
ALL
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The trial coordinator is the person who runs the study day to day. These cover the practical side — logistics, costs, and what taking part would actually mean for your life. The study team confirms whether you meet the criteria; these are questions to ask, not a sign you qualify.
A starting point for the conversation — always confirm anything about your own eligibility, costs, and care with the study team and your doctor.
Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of PRISM for all groups stratified
Timeframe: 6 months from index date
Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of PRISM for all groups stratified
Timeframe: at 1 year
Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of PRISM for all groups stratified
Timeframe: at 2 years
Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of PRISM for all groups stratified
Timeframe: at 3 years
Calibration of PRISM for all groups stratified
Timeframe: 6 months from index date
Calibration of PRISM for all groups stratified
Timeframe: at 1 year
Calibration of PRISM for all groups stratified
Timeframe: at 2 years
Calibration of PRISM for all groups stratified
Timeframe: at 3 years
PRISM performance metrics of high-risk group for direct screening
Timeframe: 6 months from index date
PRISM performance metrics of high-risk group for direct screening
Timeframe: at 1 year
PRISM performance metrics of high-risk group for direct screening
Timeframe: at 2 years
PRISM performance metrics of high-risk group for direct screening
Timeframe: at 3 years
PRISM performance metrics of medium-risk group for biomarker testing
Timeframe: 6 months from index date
PRISM performance metrics of medium-risk group for biomarker testing
Timeframe: at 1 year
PRISM performance metrics of medium-risk group for biomarker testing
Timeframe: at 2 years
PRISM performance metrics of medium-risk group for biomarker testing
Timeframe: at 3 years