Our team has constructed a prediction model based on the expression level of immune factors (PD-L1, PD-1, CTLA4, Siglec15) to predict the chronicization of radiation-induced acute intestinal injury (RAII) and verified the predictive efficacy of the system in retrospective studies. This clinical study intends to further prospectively verify the accuracy of this prediction model in rectal cancer patients. In this study, we plan to enroll 200 patients diagnosed with locally advanced rectal cancer by pathology and MRI, who undergo neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) and total mesorectal excision (TME) and develop RAII during NCRT or within 1 month. We will follow up the occurrence and progression of radiation-induced intestinal injury within 1 year after TME. Expression levels of immune factors will be detected in pathological tissue after TME and applied to the prediction model to predict the chronicization of RAII. Based on the clinical diagnosis of chronic radiation-induced intestinal injury, the area under curve (AUC), accuracy, precision, specificity, and sensitivity of this prediction model in predicting the chronicization of RAII will be evaluated. The main outcome hypothesis is that the AUC of chronicization of RAII predicted by the prediction model based on the expression level of immune factors is more than 0.8.
Age range
18 Years – 75 Years
Sex
ALL
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AUC
Timeframe: 1 year after TME