The objectives of this project are to leverage surveillance data to predict future overdose outbreaks, and to evaluate the impact of a randomized, statewide, community-level intervention trial to target overdose prevention programs to neighborhoods at highest risk of future overdose deaths. This study develops and tests an opioid overdose forecasting tool, which will allow other states to identify and deploy interventions to communities at highest risk of opioid-related death. The findings from this study have the potential to significantly improve the allocation of resources to curb the opioid overdose epidemic in the United States.
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Cumulative Incidence of Accidental Fatal and Non-Fatal Drug Overdoses
Timeframe: 0.5 to 2.75 years following intervention, with assessment of primary outcome at 2.75 years