Artificial Intelligence Prognostic Model for Sepsis Based on Time Series Analysis

Plain-language summary

Sepsis is a life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection. It is one of the leading causes of death and disability worldwide, with an inpatient mortality rate of 10-20%. Sepsis is a severe complication in critically ill patients and can lead to septic shock and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS), usually triggered by severe trauma, surgery, and infections. Despite the availability of advanced diagnostic, therapeutic, and monitoring technologies, the incidence and mortality of sepsis remain high, posing a significant global challenge to the medical community. Over 49 million people worldwide develop sepsis annually, with approximately 11 million deaths, resulting in a mortality rate of about 15%-25%. This study aims to develop a prognosis prediction model for sepsis patients using a neural network architecture (Transformer algorithm), based on time-series data. The primary outcome observed is the mortality outcome of sepsis patients. The goal of the research is to enhance the early identification of high-risk sepsis patients, thereby optimizing the timing of sepsis treatment and intervention and improving the accuracy of prognosis prediction for sepsis patients.

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